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Mortgage Rate Watch
Mortgage Rates Inch Up to Another Long-Term High
There were mixed blessings in the mortgage rate world today. The bad news is that today's rates are just a bit higher than yesterday's, resulting in another 8 month high. The good news is that things were looking quite a bit worse earlier in the morning. Mortgage lenders prefer to set rates once per day even though those rates are dictated by movement in the underlying bond market. If bonds move enough, lenders will change rates mid-day. Today was one of those days and, fortunately, the change was in a friendly direction. Before the improvement, the average lender's top tier 30yr fixed rate was roughly 6.7%, but afterward, only 6.64%.
Friday, March 27, 2026 6:29:00 PM UTC
Rates Leap to Another Multi-Month High
After a somewhat hopeful day on Wednesday, mortgage rates are back to their same old tricks on Thursday. The tricks in question involve following the broader market reaction to the Iran war which has caused significant and almost exclusive upward movement in interest rates for the entire month of March. Average 30yr fixed rates have been at or near the highest levels in 7-8 months over the past 4 days. Today easily took them to slightly higher levels as global financial markets lost ground. The move lines up symmetrically with lower stock prices and higher oil prices. Until there's meaningful and lasting de-escalation of the Iran war, the safest bet is for more volatility for interest rates. [thirtyyearmortgagerates]
Thursday, March 26, 2026 6:49:00 PM UTC
Rates Ease Despite Conflicting Iran War Headlines
The past 24 hours have seen multiple news stories with seemingly contradictory updates regarding the state of the Iran war. There's a ceasefire. There's no ceasefire. There's negotiation. There's no negotiation, etc. As far as the rate market is concerned, the most important development has been the general appearance of a shift toward diplomacy and resolution on the U.S. side. This has been enough for oil prices to preserve a majority of the drop seen at the start of the week. Bond yields (which correlate with mortgage rates) have been doing even better than oil prices today. The net effect is the lowest average mortgage rates since last Thursday. Notably, these rates are still sharply higher than February's and, apart from the past few days, the highest since early September, 2025. [thirtyyearmortgagerates]
Wednesday, March 25, 2026 6:55:00 PM UTC
Highest Mortgage Rates Since August 2025
March 2026 continues to be an unpleasant month for mortgage rates--a fact almost exclusively due to the Iran war. Even if the war were to end today, there's been sufficient disruption to infrastructure and a big enough initial spike in energy prices to create what economists refer to as "second round effects." In simpler terms, this means that inflation expectations and interest rates will not immediately return to February's levels simply because the war is over. That's a premature conversation today when headlines regarding U.S. troop deployment caused rates to jump at 1pm ET. Many mortgage lenders repriced to higher levels after that with the average top tier 30yr fixed rate hitting 6.55% for the first time since August 2025. Subsequent comments regarding de-escalation helped the bond market recover some of those initial losses, but the market would like to see a more ironclad announcement before reacting in a more meaningful way. [thirtyyearmortgagerates]
Tuesday, March 24, 2026 7:35:00 PM UTC
Mortgage Rates Move Modestly Lower Amid Market Volatility
Mortgage rates are dictated by bonds and bonds had a volatile day. During overnight trading hours, bonds suggested we should brace for the impact of even higher rates. Things changed just after 7am ET following headlines that suggested progress on the Iran war. Although volatility continued in the ensuing hours, bonds ultimately settled in stronger territory (which is good for rates). After ending last week above 6.5% for the first time since early September, the average top-tier 30yr fixed rate fell back to 6.49% today. While it's a step in the right direction, it would take a much bigger improvement sustained over the course of several days (or even weeks) to mark a bigger picture turning point.
Monday, March 23, 2026 7:34:00 PM UTC
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